Estimation of the Parameters of the Stochastic Differential Equations Black-Scholes Model Share Price of Gold
Abstract
Problem statement: The estimation of the parameters is one of main problems of the dynamic models in many scientific fields and particularly in economics and finance. In this study, we examine the techniques of estimation of the parameters of the Black-Scholes model. These techniques are based on the function of probability. Approach: The two estimations are based on the likelihood function. The “discret” method considers the function of density of transition from the process of diffusion normal log. The second method proposes the estimate of the parameters of the model via the observation of the time of first passage of the process through a constant limit of which the density is known. Results: One treats an application of the share price of gold. Conclusion: A comparative study between both methods of estimations of the parameters and the forecast is given.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3844/jmssp.2010.421.424
Copyright: © 2010 Khaldi Khaled and Meddahi Samia. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
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Keywords
- Density of transition
- time of first passage
- share price of gold